Cloud infrastructure spend exceeds forecast by more than 30% at production scale

Risk statement. Current cost modelling is based on staging traffic. If production load lands at the projected 4× volume, egress and managed-database charges could push monthly infrastructure spend from $42k to roughly $58k, which is $190k over the annual budget line.

Trigger / early warning. Monthly cloud bill exceeding $48k for two consecutive months, or egress passing 80 TB/month.

Consequence if realised. Budget reallocation from the Q4 feature line, or an unplanned request to the sponsor.

Current response. Mitigate. Reserved-instance commitments plus a hard budget alert at 85% of the monthly ceiling.